Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.888392 4.636936 5.470822 6.465744 7.617423 8.905471 10.451814
2025-08-31 2.807520 3.765096 4.942581 6.484943 8.438487 10.815751 13.911068
2025-09-07 2.115506 3.133001 4.491505 6.411732 9.024925 12.421671 17.128539
2025-09-14 1.584872 2.566783 3.977466 6.108625 9.193183 13.432044 19.617928
2025-09-21 1.280113 2.243605 3.719287 6.079764 9.678951 14.859867 22.749835
2025-09-28 1.051608 1.983348 3.496807 6.046319 10.118966 16.226389 25.880183
2025-10-05 0.951708 1.911079 3.548977 6.430190 11.213225 18.630209 30.713314
2025-10-12 0.837592 1.788963 3.494036 6.621312 12.006995 20.627183 35.073988
2025-10-19 0.755236 1.708182 3.494196 6.896946 12.954419 22.928438 40.070182
2025-10-26 0.651411 1.563823 3.354599 6.901543 13.430835 24.491666 43.984081
2025-11-02 0.538064 1.375698 3.101115 6.659008 13.437676 25.258186 46.624722
2025-11-09 0.445848 1.213344 2.871106 6.425840 13.426401 25.975789 49.212245
2025-11-16 0.386182 1.115082 2.761309 6.422176 13.855247 27.521238 53.385269
2025-11-23 0.336804 1.030982 2.668666 6.441164 14.328664 29.183925 57.888159
2025-11-30 0.288622 0.938427 2.541422 6.368363 14.608983 30.507468 61.867124
2025-12-07 0.234849 0.816657 2.324363 6.067066 14.387519 30.860769 64.077688
2025-12-14 0.203905 0.751952 2.234048 6.038377 14.728353 32.313246 68.433693
2025-12-21 0.177185 0.692827 2.147309 6.005133 15.052663 33.751549 72.849187
2025-12-28 0.170836 0.697285 2.228424 6.386699 16.324780 37.175483 81.326113
2026-01-04 0.157388 0.674664 2.232300 6.576680 17.181521 39.807428 88.393545
2026-01-11 0.148035 0.663954 2.267762 6.850673 18.254040 42.954055 96.665983
2026-01-18 0.131086 0.620931 2.202832 6.855243 18.696319 44.804084 102.420600
2026-01-25 0.109621 0.553805 2.053574 6.614151 18.527533 45.334166 105.495482